{"id":1189,"date":"2025-06-24T13:02:55","date_gmt":"2025-06-24T13:02:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alrasheed-iq.org\/?p=1189"},"modified":"2025-06-30T04:40:50","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T04:40:50","slug":"%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%82-%d9%8a%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b9%d8%af-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b3%d9%88%d8%a3-%d9%85%d8%b9-%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%87%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d8%ac%d9%87%d9%88%d8%af-%d9%88%d9%82%d9%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alrasheed-iq.org\/en\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%82-%d9%8a%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b9%d8%af-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b3%d9%88%d8%a3-%d9%85%d8%b9-%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%87%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d8%ac%d9%87%d9%88%d8%af-%d9%88%d9%82%d9%81\/","title":{"rendered":"Iraq Prepares for the Worst as Ceasefire Efforts Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1189\" class=\"elementor elementor-1189\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3fe7dff e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"3fe7dff\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fa720f6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"fa720f6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"934\" height=\"637\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/alrasheed-iq.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/La-Turchia-tra-Iran-e-Arabia-Saudita.jpg?fit=934%2C637&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-1536x1536 size-1536x1536 wp-image-1203\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/alrasheed-iq.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/La-Turchia-tra-Iran-e-Arabia-Saudita.jpg?w=934&amp;ssl=1 934w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/alrasheed-iq.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/La-Turchia-tra-Iran-e-Arabia-Saudita.jpg?resize=300%2C205&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/alrasheed-iq.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/La-Turchia-tra-Iran-e-Arabia-Saudita.jpg?resize=768%2C524&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/alrasheed-iq.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/La-Turchia-tra-Iran-e-Arabia-Saudita.jpg?resize=18%2C12&amp;ssl=1 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 934px) 100vw, 934px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b7bcff7 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"b7bcff7\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-43d1d57 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"43d1d57\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Iraq Prepares for the Worst as Ceasefire Efforts Collapse<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5449df2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5449df2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Trapped between three titans, Iraq must finally confront the illusion of neutrality and the burden of its geography<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-30c0064 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"30c0064\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f2e509f elementor-list-item-link-full_width elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-list\" data-id=\"f2e509f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-list.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"elementor-icon-list-items\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-user\" viewbox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M224 256c70.7 0 128-57.3 128-128S294.7 0 224 0 96 57.3 96 128s57.3 128 128 128zm89.6 32h-16.7c-22.2 10.2-46.9 16-72.9 16s-50.6-5.8-72.9-16h-16.7C60.2 288 0 348.2 0 422.4V464c0 26.5 21.5 48 48 48h352c26.5 0 48-21.5 48-48v-41.6c0-74.2-60.2-134.4-134.4-134.4z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">MUHI ANSARI - THE PRESIDENT OF AL RASHEED CENTER FOR DEVELOPMENT<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-far-clock\" viewbox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M256 8C119 8 8 119 8 256s111 248 248 248 248-111 248-248S393 8 256 8zm0 448c-110.5 0-200-89.5-200-200S145.5 56 256 56s200 89.5 200 200-89.5 200-200 200zm61.8-104.4l-84.9-61.7c-3.1-2.3-4.9-5.9-4.9-9.7V116c0-6.6 5.4-12 12-12h32c6.6 0 12 5.4 12 12v141.7l66.8 48.6c5.4 3.9 6.5 11.4 2.6 16.8L334.6 349c-3.9 5.3-11.4 6.5-16.8 2.6z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">24-06-2025<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9bf2fbb e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"9bf2fbb\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-74d940d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"74d940d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"284\">BAGHDAD, IRAQ \u2014In the span of a week, Iraq has gone from uneasy observer to exposed frontline state in a conflict it neither wanted nor provoked. The country once again finds itself not just caught in the middle, but hollowed out by its position. The country\u2019s vulnerability is structural, economic, and existential<\/p><p data-start=\"286\" data-end=\"577\">Iraq is trapped between three powers whose every move deepens the region\u2019s chaos\u2014an Israeli air campaign that keeps pushing the region closer to the brink, Iranian militias playing proxy games on Iraqi soil, and an American presence that helped ignite the crisis but now pretends to referee it. It\u2019s not just a geopolitical mess; it\u2019s a full-spectrum disaster, and Baghdad is smack in the middle.<\/p><p data-start=\"579\" data-end=\"878\">In the early hours of June 22, the United States launched \u201cOperation Midnight Hammer,\u201d a coordinated air campaign targeting Iran\u2019s main nuclear enrichment facilities in Natanz and Fordow. While the operation was portrayed as a final preemptive strike, it marked a dangerous escalation in the long-standing confrontation between the United States and Iran.<\/p><p data-start=\"880\" data-end=\"1141\">A proposed ceasefire agreement hastily announced by the United States yesterday and cautiously echoed by Iranian officials collapsed almost instantly. Tehran\u2019s missile barrage on Beersheba and Israel\u2019s retaliatory strikes have erased any illusion of de-escalation. What was meant to be a pause now looks more like a prelude to something worse.<\/p><p data-start=\"1143\" data-end=\"1477\">And amid this deepening uncertainty, Iraq is bracing for the fallout. Tehran\u2019s threats to close the Strait of Hormuz carry severe implications. Multiple international shipping firms have already rerouted or suspended traffic through the chokepoint. If Iran follows through\u2014disrupting a corridor that carries over 20% of the world\u2019s oil\u2014Iraq will be among the first to suffer, both economically and politically.<\/p><p data-start=\"1479\" data-end=\"1662\">Iraq\u2019s economic lifeblood flows through the Gulf. Over 90% of government revenue comes from oil exports, and most of that oil exits through Basra and travels via the Arabian Gulf. A disruption\u2014even partial\u2014would deliver a crippling blow:<\/p><ul data-start=\"1664\" data-end=\"2262\"><li data-start=\"1664\" data-end=\"1818\"><p data-start=\"1666\" data-end=\"1818\"><strong data-start=\"1666\" data-end=\"1682\">Oil Exports:<\/strong>Iraq stands to lose tens of millions of dollars daily if tankers can\u2019t transit the strait or insurance premiums spike beyond viability.<\/p><\/li><li data-start=\"1820\" data-end=\"2045\"><p data-start=\"1822\" data-end=\"2045\"><strong data-start=\"1822\" data-end=\"1842\">Imports and Inflation:<\/strong>Iraq\u2019s ports are also entry points for everything from food staples to medicine to industrial parts. Any choke in this flow will ignite inflation and spark shortages. Already, Baghdad\u2019s central markets are seeing hoarding behaviors.<\/p><\/li><li data-start=\"2047\" data-end=\"2262\"><p data-start=\"2049\" data-end=\"2262\"><strong data-start=\"2049\" data-end=\"2067\">Investor Confidence:<\/strong>Just as Iraq was beginning to rebuild credibility with foreign investors, geopolitical tremors have prompted multiple international firms to suspend operations. The country\u2019s sovereign credit outlook was downgraded on Friday.<\/p><\/li><\/ul><p data-start=\"2264\" data-end=\"2318\">And that\u2019s before a single bullet has been fired on Iraqi soil.<\/p><p data-start=\"2320\" data-end=\"2352\">Yet bullets may be coming.<\/p><p data-start=\"2354\" data-end=\"2652\">In recent days, U.S. bases in Anbar and Erbil have been placed on high alert. Iran-aligned militias have mobilized openly, while unidentified drones continue to strike convoys near the Syrian border. The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad has evacuated non-essential personnel and issued a Level Four travel advisory: \u201cDo Not Travel.\u201d<\/p><p data-start=\"2654\" data-end=\"2687\">This is not the fog of war. It\u2019s the prelude.<\/p><p data-start=\"2689\" data-end=\"2936\">Iraq has long suffered from being seen as a passive space in which others wage war. After the 2003 invasion, it became a battleground for proxy conflict between Iran-backed groups and U.S. forces. That legacy never fully ended\u2014it merely metastasized into politics, patronage, and militia domination.<\/p><p data-start=\"2938\" data-end=\"2970\">Now, it threatens to reignite.<\/p><p data-start=\"2972\" data-end=\"3297\">The war drums echo within a brittle Iraqi state. In the past week, thousands of Iraqis have returned to the streets in Baghdad, Basra, and Nasiriyah\u2014not just in protest of geopolitical danger, but over the same grinding frustrations: no jobs, failing electricity grids, endemic corruption. This time, however, there is a deeper fear: that war will be used as a pretext for further repression.<\/p><p data-start=\"3299\" data-end=\"3600\">The Iraqi political elite, paralyzed by factionalism and beholden to regional patrons, has responded with finger-pointing and televised platitudes. There is no credible crisis strategy. No national emergency committee. Parliament convened twice last week but could not agree on a unified foreign policy statement, let alone a civil contingency plan.<\/p><p data-start=\"3602\" data-end=\"3732\">In a worst-case scenario, Iraq becomes what it was during the peak of ISIS\u2014an arena of intersecting conflicts, abandoned by friends and preyed upon by neighbors.<\/p><p data-start=\"3734\" data-end=\"3845\">Iraq cannot relocate itself on the map. But it can begin to act like a sovereign state rather than a venue for someone else\u2019s war:<\/p><p data-start=\"3847\" data-end=\"4061\"><strong data-start=\"3847\" data-end=\"3871\">1. Diversify Trade Routes:<\/strong>The long-stalled Iraq\u2013Jordan corridor via Aqaba and the Faw Grand Port project must be fast-tracked from aspiration to emergency priority. Northern export routes through Turkey must be politically rehabilitated despite tensions with Erbil.<\/p><p data-start=\"4063\" data-end=\"4254\"><strong data-start=\"4063\" data-end=\"4095\">2. Build Strategic Reserves:<\/strong>Iraq should immediately ramp up reserves of food, fuel, and medical supplies. The lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic remains: supply chains collapse quickly, and rebuilding them takes time.<\/p><p data-start=\"4256\" data-end=\"4536\"><strong data-start=\"4256\" data-end=\"4285\">3. Launch Real Diplomacy:<\/strong>Baghdad must stop playing the quiet go-between and start owning its regional diplomacy. It must engage in shuttle mediation, not just between Tehran and Washington, but with Riyadh, Ankara, and even Tel Aviv. Iraq cannot afford to be everyone\u2019s friend if that means being no one\u2019s priority.<\/p><p data-start=\"4538\" data-end=\"4832\"><strong data-start=\"4538\" data-end=\"4566\">4. Secure the Home Front:<\/strong>Protesters are not the problem\u2014they are the warning system. The government must treat domestic stability as a core security issue. Real anti-corruption measures, not cosmetic cabinet reshuffles, are essential. Otherwise, the streets may become ungovernable in a time of regional crisis.<\/p><p data-start=\"4834\" data-end=\"5082\">For decades, Iraq has tried to thread the needle between Iran and the United States, leaning one way or the other depending on the prime minister or pressure. That strategy is now obsolete. The winds from Hormuz are not just metaphorical\u2014they are the gales of regional realignment, and they will tear down whatever is not fastened securely.<\/p><p data-start=\"5084\" data-end=\"5242\">Neutrality, when credible and backed by capacity, can be a noble stance. But unmoored neutrality, devoid of strategy or spine, is indistinguishable from surrender.<\/p><p data-start=\"5244\" data-end=\"5370\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Iraq\u2019s window on sovereignty is narrowing. It must speak. It must act. Not to pick a side, but to ensure it still has a place in the room when the storm passes.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b4037c0 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b4037c0\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e34649c elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"e34649c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/www.themiddleeastuncovered.com\/p\/iraq-prepares-for-the-worst-as-ceasefire\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">article link<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0639\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0623 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0647\u0648\u062f \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0625\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0629\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0639\u0628\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0635\u0627\u0631\u064a &#8211; \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 24-06-2025 \u0628\u063a\u062f\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u2014 \u0641\u064a \u063a\u0636\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0641\u0642\u0637\u060c \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0642\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u064d \u0642\u0644\u0642 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629\u064d \u0645\u0643\u0634\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064d \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u0631\u063a\u0628 \u0641\u064a\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0645 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1203,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0639\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0623 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0647\u0648\u062f \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0625\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0642 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